SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.3N 140.8W ABOUT 970 MI...1555 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1170 MI...1880 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
Madeline is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). This motion is expected to continue through tomorrow with a turn toward the west tomorrow night. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.
Madeline is expected to be moving through an area with low vertical wind shear over the next 2 days and sea surface temperatures, SST, will remain warm. Conditions should be favorable for some intensification during that period. After that, shear is expected to increase and the environment is expected to become drier, so weakening is expected. This forecast is very similar to the previous one, but the intensity has been kept a bit lower, based on the current poor organization on satellite imagery.
