PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS…
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT HILO IS 7 PERCENT…
KAILUA-KONA IS 4 PERCENT…AND SOUTH POINT IS 13 PERCENT.
ALSO…THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT HILO IS 58
PERCENT…AT KAILUA-KONA IS 50 PERCENT…AND AT SOUTH POINT
IS 67 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
COULD OCCUR AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING.
…WINDS…
ALTHOUGH CHANGES ARE STILL POSSIBLE…THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR HIGHER FROM LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY MORNING. DEPENDING ON THE
EXACT TRACK OF MADELINE…THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE…INCLUDING DOWNED TREES AND POWER
LINES…AND DAMAGE TO ROOFS AND WEAK STRUCTURES.
…STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE…
LARGE AND DAMAGING SURF IS POSSIBLE ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.
SURF IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8 TO 12 FEET ON TUESDAY..AND TO 15
TO 25 FEET FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT WAVE RUNUP OR DAMAGE TO COASTAL PROPERTIES AND
INFRASTRUCTURE…INCLUDING ROADWAYS. POWERFUL LONGSHORE AND
RIP CURRENTS WILL BE PRESENT AT MOST BEACHES. LARGE BREAKING
WAVES AND STRONG CURRENTS MAY IMPACT HARBOR ENTRANCES AND
CHANNELS CAUSING CHALLENGING BOAT HANDLING.
…INLAND FLOODING…
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. ALTHOUGH SOME UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS REGARDING THE TRACK OF MADELINE…DEEP MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE BIG
ISLAND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING…BRINGING THE THREAT OF HEAVY
FLOODING RAINFALL THROUGH LATE THURSDAY. REFER TO THE WATCH FOR
MORE DETAILS.
IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. FORECAST MOVEMENT…DIRECTION…AND SPEED ARE ONLY ESTIMATES. EVEN SMALL ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK CAN MEAN MAJOR DIFFERENCES IN WHERE THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR. DAMAGING EFFECTS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTER. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH…NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE. SECURE OR BRING INDOORS ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS LIKE LAWN FURNITURE… CHILDRENS TOYS…HANGING PLANTS…BARBECUE GRILLS…OR ANY ITEM THAT COULD BECOME A DESTRUCTIVE PROJECTILE IN STRONG WINDS. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE. STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS OR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. PERSONS LIVING NEAR THE SHORE SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE QUICKLY SHOULD BUILDING SURF THREATEN.